AMI Global Bite

Better international business information through a clear understanding of the global food and beverage industry.

The Future of Europe: What U.S. Food & Beverage Exporters Need to Know

The combined European Union (EU) is the largest economic bloc on the planet, with 491 million consumers.  It should be a major market for U.S. food and beverage exporters now and in the near future, right? However, we should analyze critically this assumption given the prevailing issues facing the EU today.

The pressure for fiscal discipline is great in Europe.  Particularly among the PIIGS members (Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain), there are rising debt levels, high unemployment (18.8% in Spain last month), diminishing global competitiveness, and the potential need for a financial bailout of these members from stronger EU countries such as Germany and France.

U.S. exporters have enjoyed a weakening U.S. dollar vs. the Euro in the past several months.  As recently as November 25 U.S. exporters were giving thanks to a Euro of US$1.51.  The euro is currently at about US$1.35, a 9-month low and 8% decrease from its recent high.  This directly impacts the price of U.S. exports in Europe, and causes not only our products to be less competitive but also EU importers to seek alternative sources of supply (for example Asia and Latin America).  Given the debt crisis in Europe, a slower economic recovery than the U.S. and most other markets, and the expectation that the European Central Bank (ECB) will raise interest rates later than the U.S. Federal Reserve, U.S. exporters should expect the weakening Euro trend to continue.

Given this scenario, what strategies should U.S. exporters employ? Firstly, there is a need to diversify away from a Euro-centric export view to new, higher-growth markets such as Asia and the Middle East.  Second, all costs in the export supply chain should be reviewed critically: are you receiving the lowest possible freight rates?  Are your products classified correctly in the EU, thereby minimizing duty rates? Are you loading all fixed costs into your export products, or do you view exports as a marginal business which is incremental to your corporate P&L?

Finally, and most importantly, have you assessed your current distribution partners in the EU?  Are you certain that existing partners in Europe are promoting your products effectively given potentially higher price points?  Are you maximizing your EU distribution to gain critical mass and hence lower your market pricing?

U.S. food and beverage exporters today face a new paradigm in global markets.  Consumers and the retail trade change more frequently, and products come in and out of favor quickly.  Exporters need to be aware of these changes and affect them positively rather than allow these changes to impact them adversely.  By being pro-active and staying ahead of the inevitable market changes, U.S. exporters will enjoy long-term, sustainable success and higher sales.

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U.A.E. Promises Big Wins for U.S. Food and Beverage Companies in 2010

AMI returns to Seattle this week after 4 days of exhibiting at the Gulfood 2010 trade show in Dubai, U.A.E..  Despite major economic obstacles currently faced by the majority of the world, the U.A.E.’s economy is strong and growing.  Food and beverage products will continue to be one of the country’s largest imports. With a desert climate lending to unsuitable farming conditions and a booming hospitality and food service industry, the U.A.E. must rely on the importation of food and beverage products to sustain over 400 hotel kitchens, 11,000 high-end eating establishments, 450 franchise restaurants and an ever-growing fast food industry. Moreover, the country’s fast food and casual dining divisions are expected to enjoy growth of double digit proportions in 2010, resulting in higher demands for imported foodstuffs.

At the Gulfood show, AMI witnessed strong interest from Middle East food and beverage buyers looking to broaden their product lines and pioneer novel western food and beverage trends in the U.A.E., Saudi Arabia, Israel, India, North Africa, and other promising markets. Buyers flocked to the Big Train booth to sample our blended iced coffees, fruit tea smoothies, and chai teas, as iced and blended products are ideal refreshments for these arid regions.

Another notable observation is that many of the Middle East’s young professionals seem to be looking to unleash their entrepreneurial skills and open coffee shops, restaurants, and other hot spots where locals and tourists can escape from the heat and enjoy a refreshing iced beverage and delicious, innovative food. With menus consisting of mostly traditional items, novel foodstuffs give added value and appeal.

Another AMI client, Taylor Brothers Farms (producer of dried prunes and prune products), was also very popular at the Gulfood show. With a local production of dates, raisins, and figs, consumers in this part of the world are very familiar with dried fruits because of their convenience factor and longer shelf-life compared to fresh fruits in hot conditions. Taylor Brothers Farms’ prunes represented a new addition to dried fruit and nut traders’ product lines. Several prominent traders from the Middle East, North Africa, and as far away as Thailand and Indonesia came to visit our stand and buy products.  We also drew a lot of attention from bakeries and chefs from many of Dubai’s top hotels for use in cakes, pastries, and other creations.

Other noted U.A.E. food trends include frozen foods (appealing because of their “locked-in freshness”), foods and beverages with added health benefits (antioxidants, probiotics, etc.), convenience items (quick and easy foods with a long shelf life), and energy drinks.

The U.A.E. and surrounding Gulf markets promise to be prosperous markets for AMI’s food and beverage clients in 2010 and beyond.

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European Union GMO Regulations

U.S. food and beverage manufacturers can experience costly and delayed customs clearance and unsuccessful export attempts to the European Union (EU) if they are unfamiliar with genetically modified organism (GMO) regulations in the EU.

The EU established Regulation (EC) 1829/2003 on genetically modified food and feed to ensure that the development of modern biotechnology, specifically GMOs, takes place safely.  This Regulation provides the general framework for regulating genetically modified (GM) food and feed in the EU.

All GM food and feed placed on the EU market have to be authorized by the European Commission.  Authorization of GM food and feed is based on an independent risk assessment by the European Food Safety Authority (EFSA).  U.S. food and beverage manufacturers can apply for authorization to place a GM product on the EU market if the product has not already been authorized.  The authorization process can take several months.  Authorizations will be granted for a period of 10 years and are renewable for 10-year periods.

U.S. food and beverage manufacturers exporting authorized GM products to the EU must reference the presence of GMOs on their product labels.  However, this requirement does not apply to food which contain, consists of, or is produced from GMOs in a proportion no higher than 0.9% of the food ingredients considered individually and if this presence is adventitious or technically unavoidable.  This labeling allows the consumers to make an informed choice.

Products made of or containing GMOs are subject to traceability requirements.  U.S. food and beverage manufacturers and other operators must provide the following in writing to whom they supply the product: an indication that the product or certain ingredients contains, consists of, or is obtained from GMOs; and information on the unique identifier(s) for these GMOs.

An authorized GMO in the EU may not necessarily be authorized in a Member State.  Member States may provisionally restrict or prohibit the use and/or sale of a GM product on its territory through a safeguard clause (Art. 23 Dir. 2001/18/EC).  Austria, France, Greece, Hungary, Germany, and Luxembourg currently apply safeguard clauses.

U.S. food and beverage manufacturers can manage the quick and successful export of their GM products by doing the following before exporting: ensure all GMOs in the product are authorized in the EU, create product labels that have the required GMO references, have GMO statements and information on the GMO unique identifiers, and check individual Member State regulations.

Source: European Commission, http://ec.europa.eu/food/food/biotechnology/gmo_en.htm

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Gulfood trade show, Dubai U.A.E. – Bigger, Better, Business

Alex Lindsay of AMI and John Taylor of Taylor Brothers Farms educate Middle East buyers on health benefits of prunes at the '10 Gulfood show.

(DUBAI, U.A.E.) – The largest food and beverage trade show in the Middle East, Gulfood, gives exhibitors from all reaches of the world the opportunity to showcase their products, and meet one-on-one with potential customers from all over the Middle East, Africa, Asia and Europe.

AMI is exhibiting 2 of our clients this year, Big Train and Taylor Brothers Farms. The response has been excellent with both booths buzzing essentially nonstop with interested sales leads. We expect the last day will show no deviation from this pattern.

Both products, blended iced coffee drinks and prunes, offer great opportunity for regions with warm, desert climates. Big Train beverages are ideal hot weather thirst quenchers and their powdered form allows for easy storage and limited spoilage. The same applies to prunes. Dried fruit has a much longer shelf life, and can withstand the hot, dry elements.Prunes are not only a healthy, functional fruit but also is an intriguing new product to many local Mideast consumers.

More on the Gulfood show to come from Dubai!

http://www.gulfood.com/

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AMI Promotes Guittard Chocolate in Europe

Autumn Best of AMI reels curious chocolate buyers into the Guittard Chocolate Company booth at ISM & debunks common misperceptions of US chocolates.

(COLOGNE, GERMANY) – 2010 marked the 40th year for the biggest and most important confectionery, sweets and biscuits trade show in the world – ISM is held every year in Cologne, Germany and spans 4 full days (www.ism-cologne.com). This year the fair housed over 1,600 exhibitors from all over the world and attracted more than 33,000 visitors from predominantly Europe, Asia, the Middle East and Australia.

AMI exhibited current client, Guittard Chocolate Company, and experienced great success with both the retail and industrial product lines. Guittard’s main focus is industrial baking ingredients including: chocolate chips, wafers, blocks, powders, flavored coatings, and more. Ideal for companies that manufacture chocolates, bakeries, hotels, restaurants and confectioneries, Guittard products impressed foreign visitors and skeptics alike.

Exhibiting in a market where gourmet chocolate is in abundance and chocolate brands have a strong history and committed buyers was not an easy task. AMI had to prove to that Guittard is not a cliché nor fad, and is actually a very high quality, delicious, and competitive product for European chocolate makers seeking to purchase industrial chocolate..

Exciting opportunities lie ahead for Guittard. International buyers from the wholesale and retail confectionery trade, grocery chains and their regional branches, confectionery specialist outlets, cafes, confectioners, bakery operations, and convenience and department stores all showed great enthusiasm and interest in the super-premium American chocolate brand. 2010 should be a fruitful year for Guittard Chocolate Company as it enters new international markets and begins building a global brand presence.

AMI and their clients know that international visitors to trade shows such as ISM notice new exhibitors and note whether or not they return to exhibit the following year. Returning participation builds credibility and trust, and as trust is the basis of most human relationships, both business and personal, companies that are consistent with show participation tend to be more successful in their efforts to sell globally. Let’s face it; no one appreciates a “one hit wonder.”

More on AMI: www.athenaintl.com

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Greece’s Revised Growth and Stability Program – Approved!

(ATHENS, GREECE) – The European Central Bank recently approved Greece’s revised Growth and Stability Program.  It stated that it is necessary for Athens to achieve its target of slashing the country’s fiscal deficit (now over 12% of GDP) by the end of this year.
In the meantime, the European Commission on Wednesday adopted Greece’s fiscal cuts plan, but placed the country under surveillance, while it decided to start procedures against Greece for failing to deliver credible fiscal statistics in the past.  That is, it may have deluded the EU by indicating that its debt was lower and revenues were higher than actual figures.

Today the Greek stock market declined 4.16%.  Speculators are “attacking” Greece’s debt and bond market.  Concerns over Greece weighed on all markets. The spread of the 10-year Greek bond yield over benchmark German Bunds rose to its highest since Greece adopted the euro currency in 2001. “Greece is a great problem,” said Giuseppe-Guido Amato, strategist at Lang & Schwarz in Frankfurt. “If the uncertainty related to Greece is increasing then you see the dollar firm against the bunds.”

That’s not all the bad news.  Today the Euro fell to a 6-month low vs. dollar on Greece concerns.  Oil fell below $74 a barrel after U.S. inventory data and lower than expected job growth, and equity markets worldwide declined on rising investor risk aversion.  The recent rise in equity markets which seemingly indicated a trend toward growth has given way to what some analysts are saying may be a “second recession.”

Here in Greece, companies are bracing for higher interest rates, which make it more difficult for them to raise capital.  This in turn may lead to lower investment by companies, which curtails employment growth.  In addition to the private sector woes, the government’s austerity program means budget cuts, which also means lower employment in the public sector.  This will make it more difficult for consumers to dispose of their incomes, which makes it harder for the economy to rebound from the current recession.

Could Greece be in need of a bail-out soon?  Is it conceivable that the country could default on its loan obligations?  Obviously, this is something the entire European Union is seeking to avoid, but today the Euro fell more than 1% vs. the U.S. dollar, signaling a flight from the Euro and tougher times ahead for the entire Euro-zone.

How does this impact U.S. exporters?  Firstly, E.U. consumers may not be able to afford premium-priced U.S. food and beverage products.  Secondly, a lower Euro makes U.S. products more expensive.  Finally, there is the potential for protectionist sentiment during recessions and a rallying around supporting local producers rather than “unknown” foreign imports.

Like the Greek culture, however, on the streets of Athens one would never know there is a fiscal calamity surrounding them.  Restaurants, coffee shops and bars are packed full of locals seeking to enjoy the moment.  Like the Greek fisherman at sea, Greeks live in the moment.  It is indeed a moment of truth for the country.  Nonetheless, this civilization has survived and prospered for millennia – it will no doubt emerge from this one, perhaps somewhat bruised but no doubt wiser.

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DAVOS Forum – World Leaders Cautiously Optimistic About Global Economy

(PARIS, FRANCE) – Nearly 3,000 world leaders, including public and private officials, politicians and business executives, have gathered in Davos, Switzerland this week to discuss global issues pertaining to trade, finance, aid to the developing markets, employment and economic growth (or lack thereof).  The main topics of discussion surrounded how countries could ensure sustainable economic growth, timing to begin tightening monetary and fiscal policies, and the necessity of global cooperation.

While some expect the recent economic downturn to remain or even worsen, the overall consensus is one of slow, sustained growth.  Emerging markets, particularly China, have lead the way in creating growth, unlike previous recessions where the U.S. consumer led the charge.  Many believe that a geo-political shift is taking place whereby China is supplanting the U.S. as the leading economic power.  The real question is whether China is ready to accept this role and embrace their superpower status in the world economy, and all the responsibilities that privilege entails.

President Obama’s proposed banking regulations predictably went over like a lead bomb.  Many leading executives believe heavy-handed measures to regulate banks and financial institutions may damage fledgling global economic recovery.  They see no evidence indicating that limiting banks’ activities help the global financial system.  One person siding with Mr. Obama was French President Nicolas Sarkozy, who attacked globalization and said capitalism must be made “more moral.”  Does anyone else see the irony in a French President lecturing on morality?

But many government leaders stated their economies would grow quicker than expected.  Iceland, hammered by a complete financial meltdown early last year, sees growth this year and next.  Germany, the largest economy in Europe, sees imports growing 3.4% this year, which will no doubt benefit U.S. food and beverage exporters.

Foreign exchange rates are also on everyone’s minds in Davos.  Many believe the Chinese Yuan is under-valued, and if stronger would curtail China’s exports and turn Chinese consumers into importers, stimulating U.S. and European exports.  While the U.S. dollar depreciated 20% vs. the Euro in 2009, some believe the Euro could weaken as the European economy struggles to recover and debt increases in Southern E.U. markets (stay tuned for a more detailed looked at world currencies in the next AMI Global Bite).

In light of the recent earthquake in Haiti, aid workers are keeping social issues at the forefront of the Davos meetings.  Poverty needs to be alleviated to avoid further terrorism and new methods of disease prevention need to be developed.  There is also discussion concerning strides toward new peaceful and diplomatic relations, for example between Israel-Palestine and Turkey-Armenia.

While the discussions are nearly as lively as the parties thrown by corporations (Google’s is one of the best, but this year everyone was trying to get into Japan’s bash), the mood at Davos is upbeat.  Although this year’s global elite knows they need to roll up their sleeves and work, the message is one of hope, optimism and growth.

Posted in Foreign Trade Regulations, International Economies, Trends & Forecasts | Leave a comment

Welcome to AMI Global Bite

Welcome to AMI’s new blog, AMI Global Bite.  Our objective is to impart to our readers nuggets of information about the global food and beverage industry, and offer tips on how F&B companies can grow their international sales.  We intend it to be an interactive journey, and that our readers will participate in some of the global issues we raise in our blog, and comment accordingly.  Through this process, executives in the F&B industry can learn “best practices” and improve their company’s position in the global marketplace.

Posted in AMI Trade Shows & Travel, Foreign Trade Regulations, International Economies, Marketing & Branding, Trends & Forecasts | 1 Comment